Thursday, February 11, 2010

Baseball Triple Crown Part I

So, lately, I've been thinking about the Triple Crown in baseball. It's a pretty remarkable thing. It requires a very balanced offensive game. Not to be overly-obvious here, but you need average (to win the batting title), power (for the home run crown), and of course, lots of luck (to lead in RBI). So, in the AL-era (since 1901), there have been 218 seasons (109 in each league) and only 13 Triple Crown winners, which is less than 6% of seasons. Now, this is all probably extremely, extremely obvious to all of you. But I got to thinking-- which Triple Crown is most impressive? I decided to weight the statistical categories evenly, and check the margin by which each player won his Crown. Obviously, there is some margin for error here. Batting titles are usually won by a thin margin, so it naturally favors power hitters moreso than contact hitters. Additionally, as mentioned above, there is a lot of luck involved in the RBI title-- it's hugely a function of luck as compared to skill. So again, home runs are potentially overrated. But, I'm more lazy than I am concerned with accuracy, so I decided to just run with it. Here's what I've found:

Player: Hornsby 1922 NL
Player: Hornsby 1925 NL
BA HR RBI

BA HR RBI
0.401 42 152

0.403 39 143
0.354 26 132

0.367 24 130
1.133 1.615 1.152 3.900
1.098 1.625 1.100 3.823









Player: Mantle 1956 AL
Player: Foxx 1933 AL
BA HR RBI

BA HR RBI
0.353 52 130

0.356 48 163
0.345 32 128

0.336 34 139
1.023 1.625 1.016 3.664
1.060 1.412 1.173 3.644









Player: Williams 1942 AL
Player: Lajoie 1901 AL
BA HR RBI

BA HR RBI
0.356 36 137

0.426 14 125
0.331 27 114

0.340 12 114
1.076 1.333 1.202 3.611
1.253 1.167 1.096 3.516









Player: Cobb 1909 AL
Player: Robinson 1966 AL
BA HR RBI

BA HR RBI
0.377 9 107

0.316 49 122
0.347 7 97

0.307 39 110
1.086 1.286 1.103 3.475
1.029 1.256 1.109 3.395









Player: Medwick 1937 NL
Player: Williams 1947 AL
BA HR RBI

BA HR RBI
0.371 31 154

0.343 32 114
0.364 31 115

0.328 29 98
1.019 1.000 1.339 3.358
1.046 1.103 1.163 3.312









Player: Gehrig 1934 AL
Player: Klein 1933 NL
BA HR RBI

BA HR RBI
0.363 49 165

0.368 28 120
0.356 44 142

0.349 27 106
1.020 1.114 1.162 3.295
1.054 1.037 1.132 3.224









Player: Yaz 1967 AL




BA HR RBI





0.326 44 121





0.311 44 113





1.048 1.000 1.071 3.119





In case you didn't notice, the columns indicate which statistic. The second row is the player at hand's statistic by the given measure. The third row is second place in each statistical category. The third is the percentage over second place the Triple Crown winner finished. Next to the three percentages is the sum of the them. In other words, the higher that last number, the greater the margin by which the player won the Triple Crown. They are already in order from highest to lowest (reads left to right). What this tells us, is that Rogers Hornsby was a beast. An absolute beast. Sure he won the Triple Crown in 1922. But were you aware that he established a post-1901 NL record in all three categories? I didn't know that until I researched this stuff, but that's just plain ridiculous. I know some sabrmetricians really fault Hornsby, especially because he was a bad defensive player, but he lapped the field in each category in 1922 and 1925. As I'm just passing along short thoughts, the biggest surprise to me was how generally unimpressive Ted Williams' Triple Crowns are. Anyway, hope this is at least a little enlightening.

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